纳指四季
满仓有刹车的 QQQ/TQQQ 策略
Nasdaq Four Seasons — full leverage, with a brake
认得纳指的四个季节：该满仓时满杠杆，该收手时先卸杠杆、再离场。
Fully leveraged in the trend; de-levers first, then steps aside.
历史回测 Backtest
同一段历史回测 2017-01-03 → 2026-09-25 · 起始 $10 万 · Same window, $100K start
| 纳指四季 V22.3Four Seasons V22.3 | 高位逃顶 2.2XTop-Escape 2.2X | QQQ 基金买入持有QQQ fund, held | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 年化CAGR | 60.3% | 49.9% | 20.7% |
| 最大回撤Max drawdown | -47.0% | -43.1% | -37.8% |
| $10 万变成$100K became | $987 万$9.87M | $511 万$5.11M | $62.3 万$623K |
QQQ 基金 = 纳斯达克 100 指数基金，买入后一直拿着（价格涨幅，不含分红）。纳指四季收益最高，回撤也最深：含三倍杠杆 ETF。回测不代表未来收益。
QQQ fund = the Nasdaq-100 fund, bought and held (price only). Highest return, deepest drawdown— it holds a 3x leveraged ETF. Past results aren't future returns.
每一年 vs QQQ 基金 Year by year
比 V22.1 多了什么 What's new vs V22.1
6 种状态 → 8 种
6 states → 8
高出年线 20% 先把 TQQQ 换成纯 QQQ，之后跌破 20 日线且方向向下再转现金
More than 20% above the yearly line it swaps TQQQ for plain QQQ, then goes to cash if price breaks a falling MA20
深坑多一道确认
One more check in deep dips
回撤超过 30% 要等 20 日线拐头向上才全仓 TQQQ，否则先 90% QQQ 防守
Past a 30% drawdown it waits for MA20 to turn up before going all-in on TQQQ, holding 90% QQQ until then
常态更进攻
A more aggressive normal state
45% QQQ + 45% TQQQ 改成 90% TQQQ，回撤也更大
45% QQQ + 45% TQQQ becomes 90% TQQQ — with deeper drawdowns
策略的四季 The four seasons
夏 · 生长 · 满杠杆乘势
Summer · Ride with full leverage
- 常态持有Holding90% TQQQ
- 回调进攻Attack99% TQQQ
秋 · 收割 · 高位落袋
Autumn · Bank gains, cut leverage
- 逃顶降杠杆De-lever100% QQQ
- 高位逃顶Top Escape90% QQQ
冬 · 藏粮 · 破位转现金
Winter · Break down, go to cash
- 破位空仓Cash100% 现金100% cash
- 逃顶后空仓Locked Cash100% 现金100% cash
春 · 播种 · 深坑再布局
Spring · Rebuild in the deep dip
- 深坑抄底Buy the Dip99% TQQQ
- 防守布局Defend90% QQQ
今天纳指在哪一季？该持什么？
每个交易日收盘后推送给订阅者 · Subscribers get it after every close
拿到代码后，三种用法 Three ways to use it
免费 Free
自己跑
Run it yourself
代码粘进富途牛牛 / moomoo 量化平台，电脑开着就每天自动判断、下单。
Paste it into moomoo's quant platform; it decides and trades daily while your computer is on.
$2.99/月 · $2.99/mo
收信号，自己下单
Get the signal, place orders yourself
每个交易日收盘后，App 与邮件推送今天该持什么。
After every close, the app and email tell you today's position.
$24.99/月起 · from $24.99/mo
量化云全自动
Fully automatic on Quant Cloud
7×24 托管在云端，接你自己的券商账户自动下单。
Runs 24/7 in the cloud, trading through your own broker account.
看量化云套餐 See plans →领取 V22.3 完整代码
Get the code
含 TQQQ 三倍杠杆 ETF,波动与回撤显著大于纳指本身。以上为策略规则说明与历史信号示例,非投资建议,不构成收益承诺。市场有风险,决策需谨慎。
Includes TQQQ, a 3x leveraged ETF with volatility and drawdowns far larger than the Nasdaq itself. The above explains strategy rules with historical signal examples; it is not investment advice and is no guarantee of returns.